Innovative Methodology For Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast

Innovative Methodology For Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast

2013 Value in health

Remuzat, C. | Toumi, M. | Cetinsoy, L. | Vataire, A.L. | Aballea, S. | Volume: 16, Issue: 3, Pages: A256,

Today, we observe quite a disruption over most countries in value appreciation of new drugs, that is making historical data used for forecasting pharmaceutical expenditure poorly reliable. Forecasting methods rarely addressed uncertainty. The objective of this project was to propose a methodology to perform pharmaceutical expenditure forecast integrating expected policy changes and uncertainty (developed for the European Commission: “EU Pharmaceutical expenditure forecast” http://ec.europa.eu/health/healthcare/key_documents/index_en.htm